The politics of the last barrel – World Finance, July 27, 2026
The article examines the role of strategic petroleum reserves in tempering the economic effects of the energy crisis caused by the war in the Middle East. While such reserves can provide relief, they cannot solve the energy crisis.
Global economic implications of the 2026 Middle East war – Warwick J. McKibbin, Marcus Noland, and Geoffrey Shuetrim, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 2026
The paper explores two scenarios for the potential economic effects of a Middle East war that causes a spike in energy prices. In both scenarios, global growth slows relative to the baseline projection, but the effects are felt very unevenly.
How the War in the Middle East is Affecting Energy, Trade, and Finance – Tobias Adrian, Jihad Azour, Nigel Chalk, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Alfred Kammer, Abebe Aemro Selassie, Krishna Srinivasan, and Rodrigo Valdés, International Monetary Fund, March 30, 2026
Energy prices, supply chains, and financial markets are taking the brunt of the fallout from the conflict in the Middle East, but the regional effects vary significantly.